Will Trump's remarks not air?

The market strongly favors that Trump's remarks will air, with no probability of them not airing.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that Trump's remarks will air, with no chance of them not airing. The Pulse AI also supports this view, assigning a 98.5% probability to the remarks being aired. The edge of 1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on available information.

• 1 Market shows unanimous confidence in remarks airing.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level indicates strong consensus among participants.
• 4 No liquidity issues noted in current market conditions.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty.

Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks to the Republican Members Issues Conference on March 9, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the named event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President delivers Remarks to the Republican Members Issues Conference" scheduled for March 9, 2026, at 4:35 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 9, 2026, 11:59 PM