Will U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

The market overwhelmingly predicts NO for U winning the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong consensus against U winning the most seats, with a 99.95% NO probability. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 1.55%, but overall confidence remains high that U will not secure the most seats. This suggests a stable outlook for opposing parties in the upcoming election.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors NO with 99.95% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher YES probability at 1.55%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 High confidence level of 90/100 reflects strong consensus.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future developments.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Senate.

If voting in the Colombian Senate election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Senate.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).