Will United Kingdom win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

UK has a low chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that the UK will not win the televote for Eurovision 2026, with a probability of 99.55% for 'NO'. In contrast, the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance of 4.95% for 'YES', indicating some divergence in expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The market probability suggests strong skepticism about the UK's chances.
• 3 Pulse AI shows a notable difference, indicating potential underestimation.
• 4 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 5 With 1318 hours until expiry, there is ample time for sentiment to shift.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.