Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Vicky Dávila is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Vicky Dávila winning, with a 99.95% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood of her success, indicating that current sentiment and data do not favor her candidacy.

• 1 Market probability suggests overwhelming skepticism about Dávila's chances.
• 2 Pulse AI probability indicates a slightly higher, yet still low, chance of victory.
• 3 The edge of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 4 Confidence level of 80/100 indicates strong belief in the current market assessment.
• 5 Time to expiry of 2044 hours allows for potential shifts in political dynamics.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).