Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Low probability for Prebilič as next Prime Minister of Slovenia.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Vladimir Prebilič becoming the next Prime Minister, with a probability of only 0.20% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, assigning a 4.7% chance to the YES outcome, indicating a significant belief in the NO outcome. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60/100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors the NO outcome.
• 2 Prebilič's chances are viewed as very low by both market and AI.
• 3 The market's edge suggests fair pricing with minimal misalignment.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to potential developments.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.