Will Willie Preston be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?

The market strongly favors NO for Willie Preston as the Democratic nominee.

Current market probabilities indicate a negligible chance of Willie Preston being the Democratic nominee for IL-02, with a consensus of 99.85% against. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 3.65% for his nomination, suggesting a strong sentiment against his candidacy. The edge of 3.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on the available data.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Preston's nomination.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0.15%.
• 3 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance of 3.65% for YES.
• 4 Market edge indicates fair pricing with no significant mispricing detected.
• 5 The time to expiry is short, with only 24 hours remaining for market movement.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.