Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yaël Braun-Pivet has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Yaël Braun-Pivet winning, with a 99.85% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects skepticism, with a 96.85% probability of NO, indicating a general lack of confidence in her candidacy.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.85%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 3.15%.
• 3 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at over 10000 hours, allowing for potential changes.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).