Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Market indicates low probability for Yonhy Lescano to win the 2026 election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Yonhy Lescano winning the 2026 Peruvian presidential election, with a market probability of only 0.50% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI further corroborates this sentiment, assigning a 5% probability to his victory. The edge of 4.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence in the current predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome for Lescano.
• 2 The probability assigned by Pulse AI is significantly lower than the market's YES probability.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The time to expiry is substantial at 794 hours, allowing for potential changes.
• 5 The edge of 4.5 suggests that the market is accurately reflecting current expectations.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Elections Jury of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones) (portal.jne.gob.pe/portal).