Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yossi Cohen is unlikely to be the next Prime Minister of Israel based on current market data.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Yossi Cohen becoming the next Prime Minister, with a 99.2% probability of NO. This aligns with the Pulse AI's assessment, which indicates a low probability of 5.3% for YES. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting limited room for significant shifts in sentiment at this time.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 99.2%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests a low chance for YES at 5.3%.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 7100 hours, allowing for potential developments.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.