Will Yumeka Brown be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?

Yumeka Brown has a low chance of being the Democratic nominee for IL-02.

The prediction market shows a dominant sentiment against Yumeka Brown as the Democratic nominee for IL-02, with a 99.85% probability of 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects this skepticism, indicating a 95.35% likelihood that she will not secure the nomination, suggesting that current market conditions are stable and fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' for Brown's nomination.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI assessment.
• 3 There is minimal liquidity in the market, indicating low trading activity.
• 4 The confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 5 Time pressure is limited with only 73 hours until the market expires.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.