Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Low probability of Zelenskyy leaving office by June 30, 2026.

The market indicates an 11% chance of Zelenskyy being out of office by the specified date, with a stronger consensus against this outcome at 89%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 15.5%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors Zelenskyy remaining in office.
• 2 The probability gap suggests the market is well-balanced and fairly priced.
• 3 Historical trends show incumbents in Ukraine often maintain their positions amid crises.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, with sufficient participation in the market.
• 5 Time until expiry allows for potential political developments to unfold.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy is no longer serving as President of Ukraine for any length of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.