Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?

Low probability of Zelenskyy leaving office by March 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the possibility of President Zelenskyy being out of office by March 31, 2026, with a 97.65% probability for 'NO.' The Pulse AI model suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 5.35%, indicating some divergence in sentiment but overall confidence in his continued presidency.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors Zelenskyy remaining in office.
• 2 The market probability is closely aligned with the Pulse AI estimate.
• 3 The confidence level of 75/100 indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 529 hours, allowing for rapid sentiment shifts.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3, suggesting stability in current odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy is no longer serving as President of Ukraine for any length of time between December 1, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.