Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.
| Market | Market | AI | ⚡ Edge | Conf | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
34.53% | 38.36% | +5 pts | 50 | NO |
|
Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
13% | 18% | +5 pts | 50 | NO |
|
Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
10.18% | 15.18% | +5 pts | 50 | NO |
|
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
16.53% | 25% | +5 pts | 50 | NO |
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
99.95% | 95.45% | -4.5 pts | 95 | YES |
|
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 149.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 95 | YES |
|
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 95 | YES |
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 24?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
99.95% | 95.45% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Will Iran strike Kuwait again in March?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 175.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.05% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-2.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |
|
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs aimclub (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 95.5% | -4.5 pts | 90 | YES |