Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Platform Comparison

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?…

0.00%

1.00%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$7.1M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?…

0.00%

1.00%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$7.1M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?…

100.00%

11.00%

AI YES

+3.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$1.2M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?…

100.00%

76.50%

AI YES

-6

Edge pts

Confidence

$940K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?…

100.00%

87.60%

AI YES

-6

Edge pts

Confidence

$864K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?…

0.00%

2.00%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$774K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?…

0.00%

2.00%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$766K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?…

0.00%

2.00%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$764K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?…

0.00%

2.00%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$620K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?…

0.00%

2.00%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$444K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?…

100.00%

94.00%

AI YES

-6

Edge pts

Confidence

$389K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?…

99.95%

93.95%

AI YES

-6

Edge pts

Confidence

$122K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?…

99.95%

93.95%

AI YES

-6

Edge pts

Confidence

$81K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?…

99.95%

93.95%

AI YES

-6

Edge pts

Confidence

$65K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?…

99.95%

93.95%

AI YES

-6

Edge pts

Confidence

$50K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?…	0.00%	1.00%	+1	95	$7.1M	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?…	0.00%	1.00%	+1	95	$7.1M	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?…	100.00%	11.00%	+3.5	65	$1.2M	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?…	100.00%	76.50%	-6	80	$940K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?…	100.00%	87.60%	-6	80	$864K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?…	0.00%	2.00%	+2	85	$774K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?…	0.00%	2.00%	+2	85	$766K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?…	0.00%	2.00%	+2	85	$764K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?…	0.00%	2.00%	+2	85	$620K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?…	0.00%	2.00%	+2	85	$444K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?…	100.00%	94.00%	-6	90	$389K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?…	99.95%	93.95%	-6	85	$122K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?…	99.95%	93.95%	-6	85	$81K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?…	99.95%	93.95%	-6	85	$65K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?…	99.95%	93.95%	-6	85	$50K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Polymarket

YES 0.00% NO 100.00%

Polymarket

YES 0.00% NO 100.00%

Polymarket

YES 100.00% NO 0.00%

Polymarket

YES 100.00% NO 0.00%

Polymarket

YES 100.00% NO 0.00%

Spread: 100 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Market shows unanimous belief in a NO outcome for successor announcement.
2 Pulse AI probability closely matches market sentiment, indicating strong consensus.
3 High confidence level suggests minimal expected volatility in predictions.
4 Political stability in Iran is a key factor influencing current market views.
5 Lack of time pressure may contribute to the low likelihood of an announcement.