Events › Geopolitics › Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?…
Geopolitics 2 platforms 8 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Combined AI YES
17.1%
Avg Confidence
78/100
Combined Volume
$12.6M
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?…
0.05%
1.05%
AI YES
+1
Edge pts
95
Confidence
$8.4M
Volume
Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?…
9.50%
21.50%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
85
Confidence
$2.2M
Volume
Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?…
25.50%
33.50%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
80
Confidence
$610K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?…
0.00%
2.00%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
85
Confidence
$547K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?…
0.00%
2.00%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
85
Confidence
$451K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?…
 0.05% 1.05% +1
95
$8.4M
Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?…
near 		9.50% 21.50% +2
85
$2.2M
Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?…
near 		25.50% 33.50% +2
80
$610K
Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?…
near 		0.00% 2.00% +2
85
$547K
Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?…
near 		0.00% 2.00% +2
85
$451K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 0.05% NO 99.95%
Polymarket
YES 9.50% NO 90.50%
Polymarket
YES 25.50% NO 74.50%
Polymarket
YES 0.00% NO 100.00%
Polymarket
YES 0.00% NO 100.00%
Spread: 25.5 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in a NO outcome.
  • 2 AI probability indicates a slight chance of entry, but still favors NO.
  • 3 High confidence level suggests market stability in current predictions.
  • 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential developments.
  • 5 Low liquidity reflects limited trading activity around this event.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 2 platforms
Markets 8 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 0.05%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?…
Polymarket 9.50%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?…
Polymarket 25.50%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?…
Polymarket 0.00%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?…
Polymarket 0.00%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?…
+3 more markets
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