Events › Politics › Will Trump visit China by April 30?…
Politics 2 platforms 7 markets

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Combined AI YES
26.1%
Avg Confidence
73/100
Combined Volume
$18.9M
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will Trump visit China by April 30?…
1.95%
5.70%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
90
Confidence
$6.5M
Volume
Polymarket
Will Trump visit China by March 31?…
0.05%
1.55%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
95
Confidence
$10.3M
Volume
Polymarket
Will Trump visit China by May 31?…
73.00%
66.00%
AI YES
-7
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$815K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Trump visit China by October 31?…
0.00%
1.50%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
85
Confidence
$549K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Trump visit China by June 30?…
80.00%
69.50%
AI YES
-7
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$491K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will Trump visit China by April 30?…
 1.95% 5.70% +3
90
$6.5M
Polymarket
Will Trump visit China by March 31?…
near 		0.05% 1.55% +1.5
95
$10.3M
Polymarket
Will Trump visit China by May 31?…
near 		73.00% 66.00% -7
65
$815K
Polymarket
Will Trump visit China by October 31?…
near 		0.00% 1.50% +1.5
85
$549K
Polymarket
Will Trump visit China by June 30?…
near 		80.00% 69.50% -7
65
$491K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 1.95% NO 98.05%
Polymarket
YES 0.05% NO 99.95%
Polymarket
YES 73.00% NO 27.00%
Polymarket
YES 0.00% NO 100.00%
Polymarket
YES 80.00% NO 20.00%
Spread: 85.4 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
  • 2 Key factors influencing the market include diplomatic relations and Trump's schedule.
  • 3 Historical trends show low likelihood of such visits in similar contexts.
  • 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing.
  • 5 Time pressure is unclear, which may affect future probabilities.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Politics
Platforms 2 platforms
Markets 7 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 1.95%
Will Trump visit China by April 30?…
Polymarket 0.05%
Will Trump visit China by March 31?…
Polymarket 73.00%
Will Trump visit China by May 31?…
Polymarket 0.00%
Will Trump visit China by October 31?…
Polymarket 80.00%
Will Trump visit China by June 30?…
+2 more markets
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