Event Intelligence

🌍 Geopolitics 3 markets

Will "Ordinary" by Alex Warren be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 21?

0.5%

Avg YES

Polymarket $80K

🌍 Geopolitics 3 markets

Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bears

100%

Avg YES

Polymarket $263K

🌍 Geopolitics 3 markets

Spread: Morgan State Bears (-2.5)

0%

Avg YES

Polymarket $28K

🌍 Geopolitics 3 markets

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

12.9%

Avg YES

Polymarket $2.3M

🌍 Geopolitics 3 markets

Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?

56.2%

Avg YES

Manifold $38K

🌍 Geopolitics 3 markets

Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

0%

Avg YES

Polymarket $464K

🌍 Geopolitics 3 markets

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

45%

Avg YES

Manifold $121K

🌍 Geopolitics 3 markets

Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?

0%

Avg YES

Polymarket $537K

🌍 Geopolitics 3 markets

Will the US and Iran reach a formal nuclear deal framework by July 1, 2026?

27.6%

Avg YES

Manifold

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

53%

Avg YES

Polymarket $74.7M

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

31.7%

Avg YES

Manifold $2.4M

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

45.3%

Avg YES

Polymarket, Manifold $1.5M

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

19.3%

Avg YES

Polymarket $1.8M

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

14.8%

Avg YES

Polymarket, Manifold $554K

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?

4.2%

Avg YES

Polymarket $421K

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

21.9%

Avg YES

Polymarket $466K

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

11.3%

Avg YES

Polymarket $610K

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

60%

Avg YES

Polymarket $295K

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

19.3%

Avg YES

Polymarket $308K

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 12.5

0%

Avg YES

Polymarket

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

13%

Avg YES

Polymarket $291K

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

7.7%

Avg YES

Polymarket, Manifold $123K

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

20.8%

Avg YES

Polymarket $207K

🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

10%

Avg YES

Polymarket $175K