Event Intelligence

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Spread: Atlético Nacional (-1.5)

66.7%

Avg YES

Polymarket $579K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the Oscars?

66.7%

Avg YES

Polymarket $40K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will JD Vance become President during Trump’s second term?

15.6%

Avg YES

Manifold $15K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Trump complete 85% or more of Project 2025 by the end of 2026?

40.4%

Avg YES

Manifold $2K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the best performing left wing candidate in presidential election 2027 ?

65.9%

Avg YES

Manifold $4K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Juliette Chesnel-Leroux win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

0%

Avg YES

Polymarket $1.2M

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Dominique de Villepin be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?

66.9%

Avg YES

Manifold $1K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 50% before his death?

27.5%

Avg YES

Manifold

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?

13.8%

Avg YES

Polymarket $53K

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

47.3%

Avg YES

Polymarket $2.6M

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

36.9%

Avg YES

Polymarket, Manifold $559K

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?

2.3%

Avg YES

Polymarket $326K

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

47.7%

Avg YES

Polymarket $186K

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

34.1%

Avg YES

Polymarket, Manifold $105K

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win between 20 and 29 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?

48.8%

Avg YES

Polymarket $171K

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

37.5%

Avg YES

Manifold $292K

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?

50.2%

Avg YES

Manifold $43K

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

24.8%

Avg YES

Manifold $231K

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

Did Donald Trump have gay sex?

4.4%

Avg YES

Manifold $850K

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

IF democrats win the house, will Hakeem Jeffries be their speaker?

63.9%

Avg YES

Manifold $26K

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

Will Democrats regain control of the Senate in 2026?

48.4%

Avg YES

Manifold $5K

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

74.6%

Avg YES

Manifold $15K

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

If James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

56.9%

Avg YES

Manifold $13K

🗳️ Politics 2 markets

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in March?

2.5%

Avg YES

Polymarket $8K