Event Intelligence

The same real-world event, tracked across every prediction platform. Compare Polymarket vs Manifold odds on identical questions.

756 canonical events • Updated every sync cycle
All 🗳️ Politics ⚽ Sports ₿ Crypto 🤖 AI & Tech 💰 Business & Finance 🌍 Geopolitics 🔬 Science & Health 🎬 Entertainment 🔮 Other
Most Markets Soonest Most Volume
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
0.3%
Avg YES
Polymarket $26K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez become US president before 2100?
12.1%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?(excluding maine)
26.9%
Avg YES
Manifold $3K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will the US have a gender non-conforming president by 2033?
25.8%
Avg YES
Manifold $4K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
will trump die before halloween ends?
9.2%
Avg YES
Manifold $9K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Democrats win 2028 election?
31.3%
Avg YES
Manifold $191K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will Donald Trump and Xi JingPing meet in person in year 2026?
74.3%
Avg YES
Manifold $1K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will Tucker Carlson ever run for president?
21.9%
Avg YES
Manifold $5K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?
47%
Avg YES
Manifold $16K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will Jair Bolsonaro run for the Senate in 2026?
28.2%
Avg YES
Manifold $4K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will the Likud win the next Israeli election
45.3%
Avg YES
Manifold $97K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will Trump's approval rating reach 40.4% or lower on Silver Bulletin by the end of September 2026?
97.7%
Avg YES
Manifold $1K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in North Carolina?
76.3%
Avg YES
Manifold $5K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will Trump attack Cuba by the end of his term?
35.1%
Avg YES
Manifold $5K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will Trump still be president on January 1, 2029?
74.4%
Avg YES
Manifold $5K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will JD Vance be president of the United States at any point before the end of January 2029?
29.9%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump Cabinet this year?
46.8%
Avg YES
Polymarket, Manifold $730K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
22.8%
Avg YES
Manifold $7K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will Donald Trump retain power after his second term?
4%
Avg YES
Manifold $18K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
12.6%
Avg YES
Manifold $12K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?
69.5%
Avg YES
Manifold $28K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?
61%
Avg YES
Manifold $51K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey
35.4%
Avg YES
Manifold $23K
🗳️ Politics 2 markets
Will there be a third party US president before 2100.
33.3%
Avg YES
Manifold
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