|
Waymo IPO before 2027?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
15.5% |
26.5% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will AI be able to write, compile, and unit test a single .c file to reproduce G…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
15.97% |
28.84% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
11.57% |
16.03% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will ChatGPT or another AI tool be officially integrated into WhatsApp by May 20…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
36.81% |
52.2% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
~
|
|
Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
27.52% |
37.45% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
37.63% |
42.13% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will a US entity force OpenAI to delete any mainline DALL-E models by the end of…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
12.21% |
16.71% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will ChatGPT launch an "adult mode" before 1 April 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
1.26% |
9.67% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will any AI model score above 90% on the ARC-AGI-2 benchmark before April 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
3.21% |
31.89% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will much AI research be nationalized by 2027?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
16.19% |
20.69% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
38.49% |
42.99% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI before the end of 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
8.73% |
13.23% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, befor…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
4.05% |
8.42% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will OpenAI create a game-playing AI that uses Sora?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
11.25% |
20.46% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
13.99% |
18.25% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Google reach $340 in March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
2.45% |
17.7% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Google dip to $240 in March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
1.35% |
10.65% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Google dip to $290 in March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
26% |
52% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Google reach $320 in March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
14.5% |
51.5% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Google reach $330 in March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
3.9% |
20% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
5.05% |
9.6% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will I think all AI hell broke loose in 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
9.05% |
25.94% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
39% |
43.5% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
As predicted by AI 2027, will AI surpass all living humans in coding ability by …
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
10% |
16.16% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|