|
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern w…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
10.09% |
14.17% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will "Announcing: OpenAI's Alignment Research Blog" make the top fifty posts in …
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
6.15% |
10.65% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
OpenAI releases model with 5M+ context by end of March 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
1.97% |
7.82% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
By March 2026, will 3+ prominent US politicians advocate for banning open-weight…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
7.52% |
12.33% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Anthropic release a first-party image generation model in 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
40.78% |
44.5% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
AI bubble pops in 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
26.36% |
30.43% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
9.02% |
13.52% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $415-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of …
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
15% |
18% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Gemini perfect score on IMO 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
42% |
43.5% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Tesla trade above $500 in 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
17.21% |
21.71% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
20% |
26.5% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
0.45% |
43.5% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
4.65% |
24% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will RadarOmega: Doppler Radar App be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on M…
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
2.6% |
51.5% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
0.45% |
52% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on M…
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
1.7% |
41% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
By EOY 2026, will iPhones have an AI that has access to and remembers everything…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
24.48% |
28.98% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will NVIDIA reach $216 in March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
1.25% |
15.55% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will NVIDIA reach $260 in March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
0.55% |
5.45% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will NVIDIA reach $244 in March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
0.85% |
6.8% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will NVIDIA reach $228 in March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
1.35% |
6.35% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will NVIDIA dip to $116 in March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
0.55% |
5.15% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
13.6% |
18% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
1.75% |
5.95% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|