Markets / Top Edge

Top Edge Markets

Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.

Market Price

Current crowd consensus

AI Pulse Score

Our model's adjusted probability

Edge Score

Gap between the two — higher = more divergence

Positive edge = YES may be undervalued

Negative edge = NO may be undervalued

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

1,123 markets with edge score > 3 pts

Market	Market	AI	⚡ Edge	Conf	Verdict
Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their… Manifold Politics	18.46%	24.46%	+6 pts	50	NO
Will Trump Pardon SBF by the end of January 2029? Manifold Politics	15.53%	20.94%	+6 pts	50	NO
Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends? Manifold Politics	8.64%	12.04%	+6 pts	50	NO
Will Trump be removed or resign from office before 2029? Manifold Politics	10.07%	16.07%	+6 pts	50	NO
Will DOGE/Trump manage to shutdown at least 100 Federal agencies by 2029? Manifold Politics	11.34%	16.77%	+6 pts	50	NO
Will Ghislane Maxwell be pardoned by Trump before 1/1/2029? Manifold Politics	10.14%	16.14%	+6 pts	50	NO
Will the US have a gender non-conforming president by 2033? Manifold Politics	3.15%	9.15%	+6 pts	50	NO
Will Donald Trump be assassinated before the end of his presidency? Manifold Politics	13.75%	19.75%	+6 pts	50	NO
Will Geert Wilders be the Dutch Prime Minister at any point before his death? Manifold Politics	10.57%	15.43%	+6 pts	50	NO
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034… Manifold Politics	5.12%	11.54%	+6 pts	50	NO
WILL DONALD TRUMP INVADE MEXICO BEFORE 2029? Manifold Politics	14.79%	20.79%	+6 pts	50	NO
Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030? Manifold Politics	16.22%	22.22%	+6 pts	50	NO
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026? Polymarket Politics	99.95%	83.15%	-5.5 pts	65	YES
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? Polymarket Politics	99.95%	83.95%	-5.5 pts	65	YES
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 202… Polymarket Politics	100%	81%	-5.5 pts	65	YES
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Elect… Polymarket Politics	77%	71.5%	-5.5 pts	65	YES
Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal ele… Polymarket Politics	99%	82%	-5.5 pts	65	YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? Polymarket Politics	61%	55.5%	-5.5 pts	65	YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%? Polymarket Politics	64.95%	59.45%	-5.5 pts	65	YES
Will Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026? Polymarket Politics	93.45%	87.95%	-5.5 pts	60	YES
Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election? Polymarket Politics	95.85%	91.65%	-5.5 pts	60	YES
Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in March? Polymarket Politics	100%	94.5%	-5.5 pts	60	YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swed… Polymarket Politics	88.5%	80.5%	-5.5 pts	60	YES
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (March 29) Polymarket Politics	100%	94.15%	-5.5 pts	60	YES

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