💰 Business & Finance Markets

Will I become CEO, CFO, COO, CIO of any publicly traded company by 2100(NYSE, NYSEArca, Nasdaq)

9.35%

Market YES

91%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $3K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.25% +3.5 pts

50/100

Low probability of becoming a CEO, CFO, COO, or CIO by 2100.

Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?

7%

Market YES

93%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $38K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 10.5% +3.5 pts

50/100

The market indicates a low probability of Argentina dollarizing its economy before 2028.

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

24.92%

Market YES

75%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $2K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 27.56% +3.5 pts

55/100

Market suggests low probability of negative GDP growth in early 2026.

US recession in 2026?

35%

Market YES

65%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $3K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22.87% +3.5 pts

55/100

Market suggests low likelihood of a US recession in 2026.

Will the US experience a recession during 2026?

37%

Market YES

63%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $10K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 24.07% +3.5 pts

45/100

The market suggests a low probability of a US recession in 2026.

Will tariff refunds be given out to a majority who paid them?

42.37%

Market YES

58%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $2K

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 45.87% +3.5 pts

45/100

Market sentiment is divided on whether tariff refunds will be issued to most payers.

Will hemp-derived CBN sleep products still be federally legal as “hemp” on Nov 12, 2026?

29.8%

Market YES

70%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $1K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 33.3% +3.5 pts

55/100

Market leans towards CBN sleep products being illegal by Nov 2026.

Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2040?

36%

Market YES

64%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $1K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 40.5% +3.5 pts

50/100

Market leans towards no significant GDP jump by 2040.

Will US GDP growth be greater than 10% in 2029?

12.23%

Market YES

88%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $3K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 15.5% +3.5 pts

45/100

Market indicates low likelihood of US GDP growth exceeding 10% in 2029.

Will Elon Musk's investment in Twitter beat the NASDAQ?

14.07%

Market YES

86%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $4K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 17.57% +3.5 pts

45/100

Market favors that Musk's Twitter investment will not outperform the NASDAQ.

Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?

20.36%

Market YES

80%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $4K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 34.59% +3.5 pts

55/100

Market leans towards no rate hike by the Federal Reserve in 2026.

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

49.94%

Market YES

50%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $71K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 43.82% +3.5 pts

45/100

Market leans towards no troops or federal agents at voting booths in 2026 or 2028.

Will the US enter a recession in 2026?

40%

Market YES

60%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $2K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 39.5% +3.5 pts

55/100

The market indicates a 36% chance of a US recession in 2026.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 17?

99.95%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $192K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 81% -3 pts

80/100

The market indicates a high probability for the S&P 500 to rise on March 17.

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

57%

Market YES

43%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $76K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 76.85% -3 pts

75/100

Market indicates a high probability of a Fed rate cut by September 2026.

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

72.5%

Market YES

28%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $41K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 83.5% -3 pts

75/100

High probability for a Fed rate cut by December 2026 is indicated.

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

55.35%

Market YES

45%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $34K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 77.25% -3 pts

75/100

The market indicates an 80.25% chance of a Fed rate cut by October 2026.

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?

52%

Market YES

48%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $2K

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 48.5% -2.5 pts

50/100

Market shows a nearly even split on the likelihood of 10% GDP growth before 2040.

Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?

41%

Market YES

59%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $33K

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 51.2% -2.5 pts

55/100

Market shows a slight favor for a rate increase after April 2026.

Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?

57%

Market YES

43%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $202K

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 54.5% -2.5 pts

60/100

Market shows a close probability for Beyond Meat beating quarterly earnings.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?

99.95%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $653K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 57.05% -2.5 pts

60/100

The market indicates a 59.55% chance the S&P 500 will open up on March 10.

World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)

64.03%

Market YES

36%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $15K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 61.47% -2.5 pts

45/100

Market favors positive GDP growth from 2023 to 2100 with a 64% probability.

Destiny community stock [permanent]

54.67%

Market YES

45%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $2K

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 52.17% -2.5 pts

45/100

The Destiny community stock shows a slight edge towards a YES outcome.

Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?

60%

Market YES

40%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $2K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 59.47% -2.5 pts

55/100

Market suggests a strong belief Polymarket will predict all Fed decisions correctly in 2026.