Events › Geopolitics › US forces enter Iran by March 7?…
Geopolitics 1 platform 9 markets

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Combined AI YES
15.7%
Avg Confidence
87/100
Combined Volume
$176.9M
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
US forces enter Iran by March 7?…
0.00%
1.00%
AI YES
+1
Edge pts
95
Confidence
$59M
Volume
Polymarket
US forces enter Iran by March 14?…
0.00%
1.00%
AI YES
+1
Edge pts
95
Confidence
$59M
Volume
Polymarket
US forces enter Iran by March 31?…
1.95%
3.95%
AI YES
+0.5
Edge pts
95
Confidence
$39.5M
Volume
Polymarket
US forces enter Iran by April 30?…
64.50%
62.50%
AI YES
-6
Edge pts
85
Confidence
$10.7M
Volume
Polymarket
US forces enter Iran by December 31?…
74.50%
70.50%
AI YES
-6
Edge pts
85
Confidence
$6.7M
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
US forces enter Iran by March 7?…
 0.00% 1.00% +1
95
$59M
Polymarket
US forces enter Iran by March 14?…
 0.00% 1.00% +1
95
$59M
Polymarket
US forces enter Iran by March 31?…
 1.95% 3.95% +0.5
95
$39.5M
Polymarket
US forces enter Iran by April 30?…
near 		64.50% 62.50% -6
85
$10.7M
Polymarket
US forces enter Iran by December 31?…
near 		74.50% 70.50% -6
85
$6.7M
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 0.00% NO 100.00%
Polymarket
YES 0.00% NO 100.00%
Polymarket
YES 1.95% NO 98.05%
Polymarket
YES 64.50% NO 35.50%
Polymarket
YES 74.50% NO 25.50%
Spread: 74.5 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
  • 2 The probability of US forces entering Iran is assessed at just 1% by AI.
  • 3 Market pricing suggests a well-informed consensus among participants.
  • 4 High confidence level indicates strong belief in the NO scenario.
  • 5 No imminent time pressure noted for this market.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 9 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 0.00%
US forces enter Iran by March 7?…
Polymarket 0.00%
US forces enter Iran by March 14?…
Polymarket 1.95%
US forces enter Iran by March 31?…
Polymarket 64.50%
US forces enter Iran by April 30?…
Polymarket 74.50%
US forces enter Iran by December 31?…
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