Events › Geopolitics › Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?…
Geopolitics 1 platform 11 markets

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Combined AI YES
23.9%
Avg Confidence
77/100
Combined Volume
$13.6M
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?…
2.10%
6.50%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
75
Confidence
$1.5M
Volume
Polymarket
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?…
0.00%
2.00%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
85
Confidence
$3.9M
Volume
Polymarket
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?…
1.05%
39.50%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
85
Confidence
$2.9M
Volume
Polymarket
US strikes Iraq by March 7?…
99.95%
93.95%
AI YES
-6
Edge pts
90
Confidence
$2.2M
Volume
Polymarket
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?…
0.85%
24.50%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
80
Confidence
$971K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?…
 2.10% 6.50% +2
75
$1.5M
Polymarket
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?…
near 		0.00% 2.00% +2
85
$3.9M
Polymarket
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?…
near 		1.05% 39.50% +2
85
$2.9M
Polymarket
US strikes Iraq by March 7?…
near 		99.95% 93.95% -6
90
$2.2M
Polymarket
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?…
near 		0.85% 24.50% +2
80
$971K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 2.10% NO 97.90%
Polymarket
YES 0.00% NO 100.00%
Polymarket
YES 1.05% NO 98.95%
Polymarket
YES 99.95% NO 0.05%
Polymarket
YES 0.85% NO 99.15%
Spread: 100 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market probability for YES is extremely high at 99.95%.
  • 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly lower probability for YES at 93.95%.
  • 3 The NO side is undervalued by 6 points, indicating potential market mispricing.
  • 4 Confidence in the prediction is rated at 90 out of 100.
  • 5 With 398 hours until expiry, market conditions may evolve significantly.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 11 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 2.10%
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?…
Polymarket 0.00%
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?…
Polymarket 1.05%
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?…
Polymarket 99.95%
US strikes Iraq by March 7?…
Polymarket 0.85%
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?…
+6 more markets
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