Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?

Platform Comparison

Polymarket

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?…

20.50%

21.50%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$130K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?…

6.50%

8.50%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$725K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?…

4.25%

7.80%

AI YES

+3.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$725K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?…

23.50%

29.00%

AI YES

+3.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$243K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?…

50.50%

49.00%

AI YES

-6

Edge pts

Confidence

$137K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Polymarket Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?…	20.50%	21.50%	+2	80	$130K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?… near	6.50%	8.50%	+2	80	$725K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?… near	4.25%	7.80%	+3.5	65	$725K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?… near	23.50%	29.00%	+3.5	65	$243K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?… near	50.50%	49.00%	-6	80	$137K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?… near	16.00%	17.50%	+2	80	$105K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?… near	8.00%	10.00%	+2	80	$68K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?… near	4.95%	8.35%	+3.5	65	$42K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Polymarket

YES 20.50% NO 79.50%

Polymarket

YES 6.50% NO 93.50%

Polymarket

YES 4.25% NO 95.75%

Polymarket

YES 23.50% NO 76.50%

Polymarket

YES 50.50% NO 49.50%

Spread: 46.3 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Current market probability for YES is 19.50%, indicating low confidence in the event occurring.
2 Pulse AI probability slightly higher at 21.5%, suggesting some uncertainty remains.
3 The market shows a strong NO sentiment, with a majority of participants expecting no entry.
4 The confidence level of 80/100 indicates a robust consensus among market participants.
5 Time to expiry is substantial at 2690 hours, allowing for potential developments to influence probabilities.