Event Intelligence

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

12.3%

Avg YES

Polymarket $2.4M

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?

32.9%

Avg YES

Polymarket $911K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

15%

Avg YES

Polymarket $548K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

32.8%

Avg YES

Polymarket $400K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

64.2%

Avg YES

Polymarket, Manifold $211K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?

33.4%

Avg YES

Polymarket $432K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Trump visits China by March 31?

20.1%

Avg YES

Manifold $75K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will there be a Assassination attempt on Donald Trumps life before the the midterms

37.3%

Avg YES

Manifold $93K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?

33%

Avg YES

Manifold $31K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Trump outlive DeSantis?

33%

Avg YES

Manifold $16K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Joe Biden be alive in November of 2028?

65.5%

Avg YES

Manifold $25K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?

85.6%

Avg YES

Manifold $24K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will the next president be impeached?

55.8%

Avg YES

Manifold $5K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Trump dies in office during his 2nd term?

42%

Avg YES

Manifold $85K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2030?

43.1%

Avg YES

Manifold

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?

55.8%

Avg YES

Manifold $11K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

46.4%

Avg YES

Manifold $21K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will the 2028 Presidential Election be Vance vs. Newsom?

36.7%

Avg YES

Manifold $38K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Putin die before Trump?

54.9%

Avg YES

Manifold $56K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election

46.9%

Avg YES

Manifold $1K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?

27.7%

Avg YES

Manifold $86K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Will Trump pardon SBF?

25.3%

Avg YES

Manifold $37K

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

32.8%

Avg YES

Polymarket $9.1M

🗳️ Politics 3 markets

Netanyahu out by March 31?

3.7%

Avg YES

Polymarket $90.2M