|
Will Larry the Cat outlast Keir Starmer’s Prime Minister tenure?
Manifold
Politics
|
60.51% |
67.9% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
One Nation gets at least 4 seats in the South Australian election?
Manifold
Politics
|
96% |
73% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump live until march 30th?
Manifold
Politics
|
99.63% |
90% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Maine in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
66.5% |
59.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Egg" this week? (March 29)
Polymarket
Politics
|
100% |
54% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Thomas Massie wins Kentucky's 4th Republican primary in 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
65.96% |
53.2% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Delcy Rodríguez still be President of Venezuela on May 4, 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
84.26% |
77% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 el…
Manifold
Politics
|
90% |
82.01% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "UK" or "United Kingdom" this week? (March 29)
Polymarket
Politics
|
100% |
71.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Regime change" this week? (March 15)
Polymarket
Politics
|
0% |
54% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will trump be alive until March 10 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
99% |
92% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the 2026 US Midterm Elections generally be considered free and fair?
Manifold
Politics
|
79.17% |
68.78% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Did Donald Trump have sex with an underage girl? [Resolves to % based on poll]
Manifold
Politics
|
66.17% |
63.01% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)
Polymarket
Politics
|
100% |
54% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
🇺🇸 If Trump wins, will the US electoral democracy index fall below 0.80 by 2025?
Manifold
Politics
|
98.8% |
88.9% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
Polymarket
Politics
|
14.5% |
66.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
73% |
66% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
62% |
55% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold
Politics
|
86.35% |
78.92% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
90.29% |
82.44% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
If Graham Platner is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Maine Senate race i…
Manifold
Politics
|
74.22% |
64.83% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Ethanol" this week? (March 29)
Polymarket
Politics
|
9.5% |
64.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Kentucky in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
64.5% |
57.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Rigged" or "Stolen" this week? (March 29)
Polymarket
Politics
|
100% |
72% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|