|
Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California?
Manifold
Politics
|
3.03% |
9.2% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Maduro remain president of Venezuela through 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
2.32% |
8.32% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Biden OR Trump die in 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
13% |
21.3% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?
Manifold
Politics
|
11.99% |
20.66% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Trump impeached before Iran war's end?
Manifold
Politics
|
11.65% |
23.2% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Liberals still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold
Politics
|
15% |
21% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
[ACX 2026] Will Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours …
Manifold
Politics
|
13.92% |
19.92% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump talk to MrBeast in March?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.05% |
8.85% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in March?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.25% |
19.55% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in March?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.4% |
10.6% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump outlive DeSantis?
Manifold
Politics
|
7.26% |
12.24% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump's approval rating improve after 1 month of attacking Iran?
Manifold
Politics
|
2.34% |
18.83% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Did Donald Trump have gay sex?
Manifold
Politics
|
7.05% |
12.71% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Clear evidence by June 1st 2026 that Donald Trump was treated with Leqembi
Manifold
Politics
|
6.07% |
12.07% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Donald Trump ban commerce with Spain?
Manifold
Politics
|
7.99% |
15.46% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Markwayne Mullin as DHS Secretary?
Manifold
Politics
|
1% |
8.16% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
4.54% |
13.79% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump Die in 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
6% |
13.43% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 …
Manifold
Politics
|
9% |
16% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will there be two UK General Elections in rapid (<2 year) succession?
Manifold
Politics
|
5% |
11% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump flee to Russia?
Manifold
Politics
|
5% |
11% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized…
Manifold
Politics
|
19% |
25% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will the democrats win the 2026 Alabama governor election?
Manifold
Politics
|
10.24% |
13.39% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary…
Manifold
Politics
|
3.95% |
9.42% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|