Event Intelligence

💰 Business & Finance 36 markets

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?

13.9%

Avg YES

Polymarket $4.7M

💰 Business & Finance 30 markets

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?

39.7%

Avg YES

Polymarket $7M

💰 Business & Finance 15 markets

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

6.4%

Avg YES

Polymarket $5.9M

💰 Business & Finance 15 markets

Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

8.2%

Avg YES

Polymarket $4.2M

💰 Business & Finance 14 markets

Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?

14.3%

Avg YES

Polymarket $1.9M

💰 Business & Finance 13 markets

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

17.1%

Avg YES

Polymarket, Manifold $562.8M

💰 Business & Finance 13 markets

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

7.7%

Avg YES

Polymarket $14.9M

💰 Business & Finance 13 markets

Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?

14.5%

Avg YES

Polymarket $1.4M

💰 Business & Finance 10 markets

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

18.7%

Avg YES

Polymarket $2.4M

💰 Business & Finance 10 markets

Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$4.00 in March?

9.7%

Avg YES

Polymarket $382K

💰 Business & Finance 8 markets

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

12.4%

Avg YES

Polymarket $14M

💰 Business & Finance 8 markets

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

28.9%

Avg YES

Polymarket $2.1M

💰 Business & Finance 5 markets

US recession by end of 2026?

30.2%

Avg YES

Polymarket, Manifold $699K

💰 Business & Finance 5 markets

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

27%

Avg YES

Polymarket $285K

💰 Business & Finance 4 markets

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

26.2%

Avg YES

Polymarket $1.6M

💰 Business & Finance 4 markets

Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?

33.5%

Avg YES

Polymarket $575K

💰 Business & Finance 3 markets

Will Gregory Dow / Tama Shimabukuro win the 2026 PPA: Newport Beach Open (Men's Doubles) tournament?

0%

Avg YES

Polymarket

💰 Business & Finance 3 markets

Will the US experience a recession during 2026?

38.1%

Avg YES

Manifold $12K

💰 Business & Finance 3 markets

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?

57.3%

Avg YES

Manifold $4K

💰 Business & Finance 3 markets

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Playoffs

100%

Avg YES

Polymarket $7K

💰 Business & Finance 3 markets

Line stock [permanent]

63.9%

Avg YES

Manifold $5K

💰 Business & Finance 3 markets

Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?

21.5%

Avg YES

Polymarket $76K

💰 Business & Finance 2 markets

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?

1.6%

Avg YES

Polymarket $1.5M

💰 Business & Finance 2 markets

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

16.5%

Avg YES

Polymarket $422K