Events › Business & Finance › Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait o…
Business & Finance 1 platform 13 markets

Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?

Combined AI YES
15.7%
Avg Confidence
65/100
Combined Volume
$1.4M
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz betwee…
0.20%
4.80%
AI YES
+1
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$71K
Volume
Polymarket
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…
2.60%
10.00%
AI YES
+1
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$537K
Volume
Polymarket
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March …
0.55%
22.50%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$120K
Volume
Polymarket
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in Mar…
39.50%
43.00%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$119K
Volume
Polymarket
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March …
0.35%
33.75%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$111K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz b…
 0.20% 4.80% +1
65
$71K
Polymarket
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz betw…
near 		2.60% 10.00% +1
65
$537K
Polymarket
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…
near 		0.55% 22.50% +2
65
$120K
Polymarket
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day i…
near 		39.50% 43.00% +2
60
$119K
Polymarket
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…
near 		0.35% 33.75% +2
65
$111K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 0.20% NO 99.80%
Polymarket
YES 2.60% NO 97.40%
Polymarket
YES 0.55% NO 99.45%
Polymarket
YES 39.50% NO 60.50%
Polymarket
YES 0.35% NO 99.65%
Spread: 75.8 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards 'NO'.
  • 2 The probability gap between market and AI predictions is minimal.
  • 3 Historical data suggests low average daily ship traffic in March.
  • 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing.
  • 5 Time pressure may lead to rapid adjustments in probabilities.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Business & Finance
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 13 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 0.20%
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz betwee…
Polymarket 2.60%
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…
Polymarket 0.55%
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March …
Polymarket 39.50%
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in Mar…
Polymarket 0.35%
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March …
+8 more markets
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