Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting? — PredictionPulse Event

Platform Comparison

Polymarket

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?…

0.00%

2.00%

AI YES

+0.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$1.1M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?…

0.00%

1.00%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$588K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?…

3.15%

19.00%

AI YES

+0.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$160K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?…

14.50%

47.50%

AI YES

+0.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$92K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?…

57.00%

76.85%

AI YES

-3

Edge pts

Confidence

$76K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Polymarket Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?…	0.00%	2.00%	+0.5	80	$1.1M	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?… near	0.00%	1.00%	+1	85	$588K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?… near	3.15%	19.00%	+0.5	75	$160K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?… near	14.50%	47.50%	+0.5	75	$92K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?… near	57.00%	76.85%	-3	75	$76K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?… near	72.50%	83.50%	-3	75	$41K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?… near	55.35%	77.25%	-3	75	$34K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?… near	29.00%	58.50%	+0.5	75	$11K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Polymarket

YES 0.00% NO 100.00%

Polymarket

YES 0.00% NO 100.00%

Polymarket

YES 3.15% NO 96.85%

Polymarket

YES 14.50% NO 85.50%

Polymarket

YES 57.00% NO 43.00%

Spread: 72.5 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in a stable rate environment.
2 Current sentiment strongly favors maintaining existing rates.
3 Historical trends indicate rate cuts are less likely in stable economic conditions.
4 Liquidity in the market appears sufficient to support current pricing.
5 Time to expiry remains uncertain, adding complexity to future predictions.