Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.
| Market | Market | AI | ⚡ Edge | Conf | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
1.42% | 4.58% | +3.5 pts | 55 | NO |
|
Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $63 in 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
50.86% | 53.03% | +3.5 pts | 55 | ~ |
|
Will total US trade in goods with Greenland be higher in 2025 than in 2024?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
1.39% | 4.89% | +3.5 pts | 55 | NO |
|
Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
59.07% | 43.49% | +3.5 pts | 55 | NO |
|
EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
16.26% | 19.79% | +3.5 pts | 55 | NO |
|
Next Fed chair to have a degree in economics?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
3.97% | 11.66% | +3.5 pts | 55 | NO |
|
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
20.9% | 46.22% | +3.5 pts | 55 | ~ |
|
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, …
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
24.92% | 27.56% | +3.5 pts | 55 | NO |
|
Will hemp-derived CBN sleep products still be federally legal as “hemp” on Nov 1…
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
29.8% | 33.3% | +3.5 pts | 55 | NO |
|
Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
20.36% | 34.59% | +3.5 pts | 55 | NO |
|
Will the US enter a recession in 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
40% | 39.5% | +3.5 pts | 55 | NO |
|
US recession in 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
35% | 22.87% | +3.5 pts | 55 | NO |
|
Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
53% | 47.99% | +3.5 pts | 55 | ~ |
|
Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
42% | 31.5% | +3.5 pts | 50 | NO |
|
Will Elon Musk use the X rebrand as defense strategy during Twitter bankruptcy b…
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
20.99% | 24.49% | +3.5 pts | 50 | NO |
|
Will the UK have a Land Value Tax that raises over £10Bn inflation adjusted by 2…
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
11.36% | 14.86% | +3.5 pts | 50 | NO |
|
Will there be a confirmed instance of acausal trade before 2040?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
47.27% | 50.77% | +3.5 pts | 50 | ~ |
|
Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2030?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
11.81% | 15.31% | +3.5 pts | 50 | NO |
|
Will I become CEO, CFO, COO, CIO of any publicly traded company by 2100(NYSE, NY…
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
9.35% | 6.25% | +3.5 pts | 50 | NO |
|
Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
7% | 10.5% | +3.5 pts | 50 | NO |
|
Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2040?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
36% | 40.5% | +3.5 pts | 50 | NO |