Markets / Top Edge

Top Edge Markets

Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.

1
Market Price
Current crowd consensus
2
AI Pulse Score
Our model's adjusted probability
3
Edge Score
Gap between the two — higher = more divergence
Positive edge = YES may be undervalued
Negative edge = NO may be undervalued
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.
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1,463 markets with edge score > 3 pts
Market Market AI ⚡ Edge Conf Verdict
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket Geopolitics
100% 44% -6 pts 80 NO
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-1.5)
Polymarket Geopolitics
0% 42.45% -6 pts 80 NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?
Polymarket Geopolitics
99.95% 92.1% -6 pts 80 YES
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket Geopolitics
100% 85.5% -6 pts 75 YES
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket Geopolitics
99.95% 63.5% -6 pts 75 YES
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
Polymarket Geopolitics
100% 94% -6 pts 75 YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Polymarket Geopolitics
30.5% 46.5% -6 pts 75 ~
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Polymarket Geopolitics
22.5% 45.5% -6 pts 75 ~
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?
Polymarket Geopolitics
100% 94% -6 pts 75 YES
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?
Polymarket Geopolitics
100% 93.65% -6 pts 75 YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Polymarket Geopolitics
41.5% 53% -6 pts 75 ~
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Polymarket Geopolitics
13.5% 40.5% -6 pts 75 NO
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Polymarket Geopolitics
100% 94% -6 pts 75 YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Polymarket Geopolitics
39.5% 51.5% -6 pts 75 ~
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket Geopolitics
0.05% 38.5% -6 pts 75 NO
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Polymarket Geopolitics
100% 91.15% -6 pts 75 YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
Polymarket Geopolitics
100% 93.05% -6 pts 75 YES
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket Geopolitics
100% 40.95% -6 pts 75 NO
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
Polymarket Geopolitics
0% 43.5% -6 pts 75 NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Polymarket Geopolitics
48.5% 42.5% -6 pts 75 NO
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Polymarket Geopolitics
82.5% 76.5% -6 pts 75 YES
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket Geopolitics
100% 90.45% -6 pts 75 YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Polymarket Geopolitics
99.95% 92.65% -6 pts 75 YES
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket Geopolitics
99.95% 88.75% -6 pts 75 YES
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