|
Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
23.5% |
27.5% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
19.5% |
29.75% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran win the war before March 31 against the United States?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
1% |
6.47% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 29?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.5% |
23.5% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on March 29?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.2% |
33% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
8.6% |
13.5% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
21.92% |
26.79% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
7% |
12.2% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Russia conduct military operations in any another country against ISIS-K be…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
16.99% |
21.99% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
36.5% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will China invade Taiwan before 2027
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
10.76% |
24% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
10.5% |
13.05% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
3.93% |
8.93% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
2.82% |
7.82% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will a nuclear detonation happen in space by the end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
5.28% |
9% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuq…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
13.56% |
18.56% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
6% |
26.5% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Elon Musk visit China before March 21 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
1.02% |
7.59% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the Minab school strike be attributed to an Iranian missile by June 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
8.33% |
14.51% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
3.86% |
10% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
25.32% |
33.97% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
15.73% |
25% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
1.59% |
6.59% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Russia deploy troops into Iran by end 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
12.95% |
17.71% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|