Events › Politics › Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for …
Politics 1 platform 14 markets

Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

Combined AI YES
10.1%
Avg Confidence
60/100
Combined Volume
$1.1M
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?…
1.75%
5.05%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$4K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?…
0.35%
4.85%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$287K
Volume
Polymarket
Will John Trobough be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?…
3.15%
7.90%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$287K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Kaitlin Purrington be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?…
1.90%
7.20%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$287K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Paul Reevs be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?…
3.10%
8.00%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$221K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?…
 1.75% 5.05% +4.5
60
$4K
Polymarket
Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01…
near 		0.35% 4.85% +4.5
60
$287K
Polymarket
Will John Trobough be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?…
near 		3.15% 7.90% +4.5
60
$287K
Polymarket
Will Kaitlin Purrington be the Republican nominee for A…
near 		1.90% 7.20% +4.5
60
$287K
Polymarket
Will Paul Reevs be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?…
near 		3.10% 8.00% +4.5
60
$221K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 1.75% NO 98.25%
Polymarket
YES 0.35% NO 99.65%
Polymarket
YES 3.15% NO 96.85%
Polymarket
YES 1.90% NO 98.10%
Polymarket
YES 3.10% NO 96.90%
Spread: 71.4 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.45%.
  • 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
  • 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
  • 4 Time to expiry is substantial at 3257 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
  • 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Politics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 14 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 1.75%
Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?…
Polymarket 0.35%
Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?…
Polymarket 3.15%
Will John Trobough be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?…
Polymarket 1.90%
Will Kaitlin Purrington be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?…
Polymarket 3.10%
Will Paul Reevs be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?…
+9 more markets
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