Event Intelligence

🗳️ Politics 8 markets

Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in March?

51%

Avg YES

Polymarket $5.9M

🗳️ Politics 8 markets

Will AOC be elected President in 2028?

33.3%

Avg YES

Manifold $98K

🗳️ Politics 8 markets

Will the democratic party win the 2026 california gubernatorial election?

32.8%

Avg YES

Polymarket, Manifold $99K

🗳️ Politics 8 markets

Spread: Cúcuta Deportivo FC (-2.5)

37.6%

Avg YES

Polymarket $232K

🗳️ Politics 8 markets

Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?

0%

Avg YES

Polymarket $131K

🗳️ Politics 8 markets

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?

38.1%

Avg YES

Polymarket $1.5M

🗳️ Politics 7 markets

Will David Belliard win the Paris mayor election?

14.3%

Avg YES

Polymarket $18.9M

🗳️ Politics 7 markets

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

34.7%

Avg YES

Polymarket, Manifold $18.9M

🗳️ Politics 7 markets

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

13.9%

Avg YES

Polymarket $2.2M

🗳️ Politics 7 markets

Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5

42.9%

Avg YES

Polymarket $3K

🗳️ Politics 7 markets

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Miami address?

57.1%

Avg YES

Polymarket $108K

🗳️ Politics 7 markets

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

53.5%

Avg YES

Manifold $40K

🗳️ Politics 7 markets

Spread: Llaneros FC (-2.5)

0.1%

Avg YES

Polymarket $26K

🗳️ Politics 7 markets

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?

42.9%

Avg YES

Polymarket $1.7M

🗳️ Politics 6 markets

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

16.8%

Avg YES

Polymarket $40.3M

🗳️ Politics 6 markets

Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. AD Cali: Both Teams to Score

33.4%

Avg YES

Polymarket $31K

🗳️ Politics 6 markets

Will Joe Biden and Benjamin Netanyahu meet in person in year 2028?

22.1%

Avg YES

Manifold $3K

🗳️ Politics 6 markets

Will Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

16.7%

Avg YES

Polymarket $5.2M

🗳️ Politics 6 markets

Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?

16.7%

Avg YES

Polymarket $269K

🗳️ Politics 6 markets

Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

16.8%

Avg YES

Polymarket $366K

🗳️ Politics 6 markets

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 3, 2026?

17.1%

Avg YES

Polymarket $123K

🗳️ Politics 5 markets

Trump out as President by March 31?

15.3%

Avg YES

Polymarket $21.5M

🗳️ Politics 5 markets

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

19.6%

Avg YES

Polymarket $13.1M

🗳️ Politics 5 markets

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

19.9%

Avg YES

Polymarket $4.1M