|
Will Maxx Crosby get traded from the Las Vegas Raiders before March 10th?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
89% |
83% |
-6 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
Will US inflation go above 3% before unemployment goes below 4%?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
84.97% |
75.31% |
-6 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negati…
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
96.27% |
90.27% |
-6 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the end of 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
98.41% |
92.79% |
-6 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will I resolve this market to yes within 12 hours of it reaching 10 traders?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
96.32% |
90.32% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
81.76% |
75.76% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the UK face the "longest recession in G7"?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
82.37% |
76.37% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the U.S. Supreme Court issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day tarif…
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
86.07% |
80.07% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the EU-Mercosur Free Trade Agreement be applied in 2026, even if provisiona…
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
91.72% |
82.89% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% before it reaches 0%?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
76.48% |
70.48% |
-6 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?
Polymarket
Business & Finance
|
86.5% |
83% |
-4.5 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?
Polymarket
Business & Finance
|
0.05% |
69% |
-4.5 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 16?
Polymarket
Business & Finance
|
99.95% |
95.05% |
-4.5 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Polymarket
Business & Finance
|
100% |
92.05% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on…
Polymarket
Business & Finance
|
85.5% |
82% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
Polymarket
Business & Finance
|
98.95% |
94.45% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?
Polymarket
Business & Finance
|
99.95% |
93.9% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Polymarket
Business & Finance
|
97.9% |
68.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Cannibis be federally legalized in America by 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
1.67% |
5.03% |
+3.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Boeing declare bankruptcy or shut down before the end of 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
5.31% |
8.81% |
+3.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
1% |
4.55% |
+3.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
10.98% |
13.97% |
+3.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 18% for December 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
6.05% |
9.55% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
US recession in 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
35.37% |
32.83% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|