Markets / Top Edge

Top Edge Markets

Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.

Market Price

Current crowd consensus

AI Pulse Score

Our model's adjusted probability

Edge Score

Gap between the two — higher = more divergence

Positive edge = YES may be undervalued

Negative edge = NO may be undervalued

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

1,123 markets with edge score > 3 pts

Market	Market	AI	⚡ Edge	Conf	Verdict
Will Trump apologize for bombing Iranian school? Manifold Politics	1%	12.89%	+6 pts	55	NO
Scottish Parliament: Will there be an Extraordinary General Election called befo… Manifold Politics	1%	7%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 … Manifold Politics	9%	16%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will Trump Die in 2026? Manifold Politics	6%	13.43%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US… Manifold Politics	19.88%	25.88%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will Democrats win every US House election in 2026 in Colorado? Manifold Politics	14%	20%	+6 pts	55	NO
Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026? Manifold Politics	4.54%	13.79%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Markwayne Mullin as DHS Secretary? Manifold Politics	1%	8.16%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will two Republicans win in California's June 2026 gubernatorial primary? Manifold Politics	10%	16%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026? Manifold Politics	13.96%	20.91%	+6 pts	55	NO
Trump will die before 2027 Manifold Politics	7.55%	13.82%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will Kina Collins be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07? Polymarket Politics	4.85%	18%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will Donald Trump ban commerce with Spain? Manifold Politics	7.99%	15.46%	+6 pts	55	NO
Clear evidence by June 1st 2026 that Donald Trump was treated with Leqembi Manifold Politics	6.07%	12.07%	+6 pts	55	NO
Did Donald Trump have gay sex? Manifold Politics	7.05%	12.71%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will Trump's approval rating improve after 1 month of attacking Iran? Manifold Politics	2.34%	18.83%	+6 pts	55	NO
Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?(excluding maine… Manifold Politics	18.49%	18.72%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will Maduro remain president of Venezuela through 2026? Manifold Politics	2.32%	8.32%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will AOC run for and be elected to Senate in the 2026 mid-term primaries? Manifold Politics	3.63%	9.63%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will Trump say "Tiger" this week? (March 29) Polymarket Politics	100%	22.5%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California? Manifold Politics	3.03%	9.2%	+6 pts	55	NO
Kat Abughazaleh elected to Congress? Manifold Politics	1.04%	7.11%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will Biden OR Trump die in 2026? Manifold Politics	13%	21.3%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election? Manifold Politics	11.99%	20.66%	+6 pts	55	NO

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