|
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
1.6% |
27% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.15% |
15.5% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Israel participate in IOI 2026 (on site)
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
5.4% |
11.85% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Powell say "China" during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
30.5% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
us nukes Iran in 2026
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
4.86% |
9.75% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
18% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
34.5% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will an Israeli participate in IOI 2026
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
16.83% |
22.48% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Powell say "Distortion" during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
33.5% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on March 29?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.1% |
5.75% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
If NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
25.01% |
30.01% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Ukraine suffer nuclear power plant meltdowns during the Russia war?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
6.41% |
11.41% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran shoot down a US military plane/helicopter by end of March?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
2.89% |
27.45% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a …
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
9.58% |
14.58% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
2.5% |
7.5% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current sus…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
35.42% |
40.04% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on March 23?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.4% |
5.95% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
13.72% |
18.87% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on March 23?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
1.35% |
5.9% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
2.3% |
30% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
21.58% |
24.18% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Nuclear weapon used offensively in 2026
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
4.85% |
11% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
12.38% |
20.08% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will "Ordinary" by Alex Warren be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 21…
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.25% |
6.05% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|