|
Will Trump say "President Xi" this week? (March 22)
Polymarket
Politics
|
74.5% |
63% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Trump visits China before May 1, 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
2.61% |
66.7% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Doug" or "Burgum" this week? (March 22)
Polymarket
Politics
|
75.5% |
68.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will trump live in a week?
Manifold
Politics
|
98.02% |
90.52% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Hipkins+Luxon+Peters all leaders on day of next election?
Manifold
Politics
|
52.91% |
58% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will ECSA conduct a formal recount for the seat of Narungga in the 2026 SA Elect…
Manifold
Politics
|
97.5% |
84.31% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
Manifold
Politics
|
91.75% |
83.54% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?
Manifold
Politics
|
60.7% |
56.11% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu run for the Israeli Knesset next election?
Manifold
Politics
|
86.02% |
82.94% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 m…
Manifold
Politics
|
91.26% |
84.26% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?
Manifold
Politics
|
83.98% |
77.94% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in North Carolina?
Manifold
Politics
|
81.83% |
79.1% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the midterm elections take place on November 3rd?
Manifold
Politics
|
93.73% |
88.66% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Finish the Job" this week? (March 22)
Polymarket
Politics
|
56.5% |
61.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will King Charles III outlive Trump?
Manifold
Politics
|
74.99% |
59% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Too Big to Rig" this week? (March 22)
Polymarket
Politics
|
68.5% |
69% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
80.77% |
73.4% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 22)
Polymarket
Politics
|
74.5% |
69.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?
Manifold
Politics
|
89.45% |
83.08% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit New York in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
92.8% |
85.8% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
92.45% |
83.61% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Nevada in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
69.5% |
62.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Louisiana in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
62% |
55% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)…
Manifold
Politics
|
74.2% |
54.77% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
~
|