|
Will Donald Trump visit Nevada in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
69.5% |
62.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
92.45% |
83.61% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit New York in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
92.8% |
85.8% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
58.33% |
57.45% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Trump is US President on December 31, 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
86.6% |
80.77% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
84% |
77% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legisl…
Manifold
Politics
|
81.47% |
74.47% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump declare the Iran war to be won in the next month?
Manifold
Politics
|
90.84% |
76.94% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump still be relevant in US politics by 2028?
Manifold
Politics
|
85.31% |
78.31% |
-7 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Elect…
Manifold
Politics
|
76% |
69% |
-7 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?
Manifold
Politics
|
60.4% |
53.4% |
-7 pts
|
50
|
~
|
|
Will Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end o…
Manifold
Politics
|
76.51% |
69.51% |
-7 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump having serious health troubles during his second term be revealed bef…
Manifold
Politics
|
74.08% |
67.08% |
-7 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?
Manifold
Politics
|
68.85% |
61.95% |
-7 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump finish his second term?
Manifold
Politics
|
77.49% |
69.61% |
-7 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will Biden die before Trump
Manifold
Politics
|
68.85% |
61.95% |
-7 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will Democrats control the US Senate any time after the 2024 elections and befor…
Manifold
Politics
|
70.45% |
55.62% |
-7 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will there be a female president of the US by the year 2040?
Manifold
Politics
|
70.09% |
63.09% |
-7 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Polymarket
Politics
|
51.5% |
45.5% |
-6 pts
|
85
|
~
|
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.15% |
21.5% |
+6 pts
|
65
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]
Manifold
Politics
|
3.79% |
9.79% |
+6 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Congress pass a bill by the end of Q1 2025 that mandates customer service o…
Manifold
Politics
|
7.98% |
19.69% |
+6 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?
Manifold
Politics
|
18.35% |
19.9% |
+6 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump attempt to fire Jerome Powell before May 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
10.55% |
13% |
+6 pts
|
60
|
NO
|