Markets / Top Edge

Top Edge Markets

Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.

Market Price

Current crowd consensus

AI Pulse Score

Our model's adjusted probability

Edge Score

Gap between the two — higher = more divergence

Positive edge = YES may be undervalued

Negative edge = NO may be undervalued

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

1,123 markets with edge score > 3 pts

Market	Market	AI	⚡ Edge	Conf	Verdict
Will Carl Brunner win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? Polymarket Politics	2.15%	6.6%	+4.5 pts	55	NO
Will Kurt Wedekind win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? Polymarket Politics	2.75%	7.5%	+4.5 pts	55	NO
Trump visits China by May 15? Manifold Politics	56.83%	52.73%	-4.5 pts	55	~
Will Alina Habba be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey? Polymarket Politics	0.25%	4.75%	+4.5 pts	55	NO
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential … Polymarket Politics	2%	6.75%	+4.5 pts	55	NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele… Polymarket Politics	7.9%	12.4%	+4.5 pts	55	NO
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential elect… Polymarket Politics	4.4%	8.9%	+4.5 pts	55	NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele… Polymarket Politics	6.15%	10.65%	+4.5 pts	55	NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presi… Polymarket Politics	2.4%	6.9%	+4.5 pts	55	NO
Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in March? Polymarket Politics	0.6%	8.4%	+4.5 pts	55	NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Alfonso López Chau advance to the runoff? Polymarket Politics	8%	12%	+4.5 pts	55	NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff? Polymarket Politics	3.9%	8.45%	+4.5 pts	55	NO
Will Alfonso López Chau and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff? Polymarket Politics	1.3%	5.8%	+4.5 pts	55	NO
Will Alfonso López Chau and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff? Polymarket Politics	3.3%	7.65%	+4.5 pts	55	NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Wolfgang Grozo advance to the runoff? Polymarket Politics	0.7%	5.2%	+4.5 pts	55	NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? Polymarket Politics	6.45%	12.3%	+4.5 pts	50	NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Polymarket Politics	16.25%	23.9%	+4.5 pts	50	NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? Polymarket Politics	15%	18%	+4.5 pts	50	NO
Will Trump be regarded as a fascist by most mainstream scholars in 2050? Manifold Politics	60%	55.5%	-4.5 pts	50	YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Polymarket Politics	100%	96%	-4 pts	90	YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? Polymarket Politics	1.6%	96%	-4 pts	90	YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? Polymarket Politics	95.3%	90.1%	-4 pts	85	YES
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? Polymarket Politics	94.5%	83.5%	-4 pts	85	YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? Polymarket Politics	62.5%	58.5%	-4 pts	85	YES

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