Markets / Top Edge

Top Edge Markets

Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.

Market Price

Current crowd consensus

AI Pulse Score

Our model's adjusted probability

Edge Score

Gap between the two — higher = more divergence

Positive edge = YES may be undervalued

Negative edge = NO may be undervalued

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

1,123 markets with edge score > 3 pts

Market	Market	AI	⚡ Edge	Conf	Verdict
Will Trump attempt to fire Jerome Powell before May 2026? Manifold Politics	10.55%	13%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Congress pass a bill by the end of Q1 2025 that mandates customer service o… Manifold Politics	7.98%	19.69%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Trump resign before the term end Manifold Politics	11.86%	11.39%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midte… Manifold Politics	15.7%	21.7%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Donald Trump die by April 1 Manifold Politics	1%	8.57%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representativ… Polymarket Politics	18%	24%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will another Trump cabinet member be fired before April 2026? Manifold Politics	1.37%	15%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will the SAVE Act be enacted before the 2026 US elections Manifold Politics	11%	16.91%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will the US President or UK Prime Minister confirm the existence of Non-Human In… Manifold Politics	13.19%	19.19%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Trump Die Before June 30th 2026 Manifold Politics	4.83%	10.43%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Trump say "Pipeline" or "Road" during Taoiseach events? Polymarket Politics	0.05%	21%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" 3+ times during Memphis Roundtable? Polymarket Politics	15.5%	21.5%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Peter Magyar be arrested before the 2026 elections in Hungary? Manifold Politics	4.77%	10.77%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Trump say "Cancer" during Memphis Roundtable? Polymarket Politics	17%	23%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026? Manifold Politics	15.47%	21.47%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Trump go a full week without speaking live on camera before the end of 2026… Manifold Politics	12.23%	21%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Pritzker, Newsome, or any other state governor attempt to have the state po… Manifold Politics	17.55%	23.55%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Donald Trump serve time under House Arrest before 2027? Manifold Politics	1.63%	8.2%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Memphis Roundtable? Polymarket Politics	18.5%	24.5%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Taoiseach events? Polymarket Politics	0%	22%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Melania say "Challenge" during Fostering the Future Together event on March… Polymarket Politics	0.5%	25%	+6 pts	60	NO
Will Donald Trump ban commerce with Spain? Manifold Politics	7.99%	15.46%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in March? Polymarket Politics	1.7%	25%	+6 pts	55	NO
Will Kina Collins be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07? Polymarket Politics	4.85%	18%	+6 pts	55	NO

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