|
Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
10% |
16% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119t…
Manifold
Politics
|
8.12% |
14.15% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
8.76% |
14.76% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Trump proclaims a 'Straight Pride month' by August 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
10% |
16% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary…
Manifold
Politics
|
3.95% |
9.42% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will there be two UK General Elections in rapid (<2 year) succession?
Manifold
Politics
|
5% |
11% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized…
Manifold
Politics
|
19% |
25% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump and Xi meet as scheduled on March 31st?
Manifold
Politics
|
1.21% |
16.22% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump flee to Russia?
Manifold
Politics
|
5% |
11% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will the democrats win the 2026 Alabama governor election?
Manifold
Politics
|
10.24% |
13.39% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
If Trump wins, will China attack Taiwan before the end of 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
12.28% |
18% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week? (March 22)
Polymarket
Politics
|
14% |
12% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
11% |
17% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?
Manifold
Politics
|
1.67% |
7.61% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Donald Trump be assassinated before the end of his presidency?
Manifold
Politics
|
13.75% |
19.75% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Tucker Carlson run for President by 2032?
Manifold
Politics
|
16% |
22% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will the US have a gender non-conforming president by 2033?
Manifold
Politics
|
3.15% |
9.15% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Ghislane Maxwell be pardoned by Trump before 1/1/2029?
Manifold
Politics
|
10.14% |
16.14% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will DOGE/Trump manage to shutdown at least 100 Federal agencies by 2029?
Manifold
Politics
|
11.34% |
16.77% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump be removed or resign from office before 2029?
Manifold
Politics
|
10.07% |
16.07% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
Manifold
Politics
|
8.64% |
12.04% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump Pardon SBF by the end of January 2029?
Manifold
Politics
|
15.53% |
20.94% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Donald Trump spend any time in prison before 2030?
Manifold
Politics
|
6.52% |
12.52% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump spend any time in prison before he dies?
Manifold
Politics
|
9.81% |
15.81% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|