Business & Finance Prediction Markets

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

0%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.1M

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2% Fair

80/100

Market indicates a low probability of a Fed rate cut by March 2026.

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

48.5%

Market YES

52%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $10.3M

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 49% Fair

95/100

The market shows a near-even split on Jesus Christ's return before GTA VI.

Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $401K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.3% Fair

75/100

The market strongly favors no increase at the March 2026 ECB meeting.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?

99.95%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $312K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 26% Fair

80/100

Market favors a decline in S&P 500 by March 9, with a 74.5% probability.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?

0.85%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $761K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.35% Fair

75/100

Market indicates low probability of Jerome Powell leaving by March 2026.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

2.3%

Market YES

98%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $713K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.8% Fair

75/100

Low probability of Jerome Powell leaving as Fed Chair by May 2026.

US recession by end of 2026?

31%

Market YES

69%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $626K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 32.5% Fair

75/100

Market indicates a low probability of a US recession by the end of 2026.

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

3.15%

Market YES

97%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $160K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 19% Fair

75/100

Market sees low probability for a Fed rate cut by April 2026.

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

14.5%

Market YES

86%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $92K

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 47.5% Fair

75/100

The market shows a near even split on a Fed rate cut by June 2026.

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

29%

Market YES

71%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $11K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 58.5% Fair

75/100

Market indicates a 58% chance of a Fed rate cut by July 2026.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

17%

Market YES

83%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.7M

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 44% Fair

75/100

Market leans towards traffic not returning to normal by April 30.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 11?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $117K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7% Fair

65/100

Market predicts a low chance of the S&P 500 rising on March 11.

Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?

8.4%

Market YES

92%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $13K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.9% Fair

65/100

Market expects US unemployment to remain below 10.0% in 2026.

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

13%

Market YES

87%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $58K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 13.5% Fair

75/100

The market predicts low likelihood of 80 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz in March.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?

99.95%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $485K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 40% Fair

75/100

Market indicates a higher chance of the S&P 500 opening down on March 30.

Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

3.45%

Market YES

97%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $40K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.55% Fair

75/100

The market indicates a low probability of Hillary Clinton visiting Epstein's island.

Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

13%

Market YES

87%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $58K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11.5% Fair

75/100

Market suggests low likelihood of Bannon visiting Epstein's island.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

29%

Market YES

71%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $168K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 29% Fair

75/100

Market indicates a low probability of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait closing by April 30.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $299K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1% Fair

80/100

Market indicates a high probability of the S&P 500 being down on March 19.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 27?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $220K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1% Fair

80/100

Market strongly favors a decline in the S&P 500 on March 27.

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

7%

Market YES

93%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $97K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 13.5% Fair

75/100

Market indicates low probability of confirming Gates' visit to Epstein's island.

💰 Business & Finance Markets