|
Will the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) sustain battle damage caused directly by I…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
1.38% |
19.62% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
19.96% |
27.46% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Russia deploy troops into Iran by end 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
12.95% |
17.71% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuq…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
13.56% |
18.56% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
6% |
26.5% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Elon Musk visit China before March 21 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
1.02% |
7.59% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the Minab school strike be attributed to an Iranian missile by June 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
8.33% |
14.51% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
3.86% |
10% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will a nuclear detonation happen in space by the end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
5.28% |
9% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
7.79% |
12.79% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will I get a girlfriend before I get an award on USAMO?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
4% |
8% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
25.32% |
33.97% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
1.59% |
6.59% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
15.73% |
25% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
7.97% |
21% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
2% |
12.73% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before the end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
3.77% |
8.77% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
4.95% |
11.74% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will a new regime be installed in Iran before April 1st?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
1.69% |
9.33% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran launch the 100th wave of missile/drone strike under "Operation True Pr…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
2.94% |
44.98% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will I get a girlfriend before I get an award on USAMO?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
2.19% |
7.92% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Russia joins the Board of Peace by March 31?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
1% |
16.47% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
us nukes Iran in 2026
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
4.86% |
9.75% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Powell say "China" during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
30.5% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|