Markets / Top Edge

Top Edge Markets

Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.

1
Market Price
Current crowd consensus
2
AI Pulse Score
Our model's adjusted probability
3
Edge Score
Gap between the two — higher = more divergence
Positive edge = YES may be undervalued
Negative edge = NO may be undervalued
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.
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1,123 markets with edge score > 3 pts
Market Market AI ⚡ Edge Conf Verdict
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian preside…
Polymarket Politics
8.95% 12.35% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential electio…
Polymarket Politics
6.1% 13.35% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Polymarket Politics
0.15% 4.65% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Polymarket Politics
0.35% 4.8% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Polymarket Politics
0.25% 4.75% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Polymarket Politics
0.25% 4.75% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Polymarket Politics
0.15% 4.65% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Polymarket Politics
0.2% 4.75% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
Polymarket Politics
6.5% 11% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?
Polymarket Politics
10% 14.5% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?
Polymarket Politics
3.35% 7.85% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 mi…
Polymarket Politics
10.5% 15% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 mi…
Polymarket Politics
7% 11.5% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 mi…
Polymarket Politics
3.8% 8.3% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 mi…
Polymarket Politics
1.35% 5.85% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 mi…
Polymarket Politics
8.5% 13% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 mi…
Polymarket Politics
5.6% 10.1% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 mi…
Polymarket Politics
1.85% 6.35% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm el…
Polymarket Politics
1.55% 6.05% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?
Polymarket Politics
2.15% 4.85% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?
Polymarket Politics
2.4% 4.85% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 9-12, 2026?
Polymarket Politics
2.2% 6.35% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?
Polymarket Politics
25.25% 17.05% +4.5 pts 60 NO
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?
Polymarket Politics
14.5% 11.65% +4.5 pts 60 NO
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