Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.
| Market | Market | AI | ⚡ Edge | Conf | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
19% | 22.5% | +3.5 pts | 70 | NO |
|
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
24.5% | 25% | +3.5 pts | 70 | NO |
|
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
1.15% | 19% | +3.5 pts | 70 | NO |
|
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% | 19.5% | +3.5 pts | 70 | NO |
|
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
4.45% | 10.5% | +3.5 pts | 70 | NO |
|
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
23.5% | 27% | +3.5 pts | 70 | NO |
|
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% | 29% | +3.5 pts | 70 | NO |
|
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 11% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% | 23.05% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
99.95% | 40.5% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.4% | 21% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.55% | 19.5% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.3% | 17% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
10.35% | 13% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
29% | 32.5% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
23.5% | 27% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
6.05% | 9.55% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
16% | 19.5% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
2.45% | 5.95% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
99.95% | 43% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
20.5% | 24% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
11.9% | 15.4% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
19% | 22.5% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |
|
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
23.5% | 29% | +3.5 pts | 65 | NO |