AI & Tech Prediction Markets

Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

8.4%

Market YES

92%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $245K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.15% +3 pts

60/100

DeepSeek is unlikely to have the second best AI model by June 2026.

Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

0.4%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.85% +3 pts

55/100

Market indicates low confidence in Mistral's AI model ranking by mid-2026.

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

1.95%

Market YES

98%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $14K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.85% +3 pts

60/100

Market expects SpaceX's cap to exceed $1.0T on IPO day.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

25%

Market YES

75%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $16K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 27% +3 pts

60/100

Market favors NO for SpaceX's IPO cap being between $2.0T and $2.5T.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?

3.65%

Market YES

96%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $433K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.3% +3 pts

60/100

Market sees low probability for SpaceX's cap to hit $3.0T-$3.5T on IPO day.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

10%

Market YES

90%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $10K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 12.5% +3 pts

60/100

Market sees low probability for SpaceX's cap to hit $1.0T-$1.5T on IPO day.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

5.25%

Market YES

95%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $773K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.05% +3 pts

60/100

Low probability for SpaceX's market cap to hit $2.5T-$3.0T at IPO close.

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?

2.5%

Market YES

98%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $30K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.05% +3 pts

60/100

Market sees a low chance of SpaceX reaching a $3.5T market cap on IPO day.

Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

2.35%

Market YES

98%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $236K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.85% +3 pts

65/100

The market strongly favors SpaceX not going public by 2027.

Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?

99.95%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $763K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 97.95% -2 pts

85/100

Big AI is highly likely to remain the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8.

Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?

99.95%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $387K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 97.95% -2 pts

85/100

Big AI is highly likely to be the #1 Free App by March 9.

Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 3?

100%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.2M

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 98% -2 pts

90/100

Big AI is highly likely to be the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 3.

Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?

100%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.2M

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 98% -2 pts

90/100

Big AI is expected to remain the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13.

Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?

100%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.2M

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 98% -2 pts

90/100

Big AI is expected to remain the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

99.9%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $3M

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 91.5% -2 pts

80/100

NVIDIA has a high probability of being the largest company by market cap on March 31.

Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?

99.95%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $27K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 97.95% -2 pts

85/100

High probability indicates Claude is likely to remain the #1 Free App by March 10.

Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 27?

100%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.2M

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 98% -2 pts

90/100

Big AI is expected to remain the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 27.

Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?

99.95%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $17K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 97.95% -2 pts

85/100

High probability that Claude will not be the #1 Free App by March 8.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

99.75%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.7M

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 76.55% -2 pts

75/100

Market favors Anthropic to have the best AI model by March 2026.

Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 31?

99.95%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $8K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 97.95% -2 pts

85/100

High probability indicates Claude will likely lose its #1 spot by March 31.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

65%

Market YES

35%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $203K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 63% -2 pts

80/100

NVIDIA has a 65% chance to be the largest company by market cap by year-end.

Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 25?

99.95%

Market YES

0%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $6K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 97.95% -2 pts

85/100

High probability indicates Claude will likely lose its top app position by March 25.

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 9?

13.5%

Market YES

87%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $6K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 15.5% +2 pts

65/100

Market favors NVIDIA closing below $185 on March 9.

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

93.5%

Market YES

7%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $518K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 91% -2 pts

65/100

High probability for SpaceX's market cap exceeding $1T on IPO day.

🤖 AI & Tech Markets